Guan Tao China’s economy will enter the real estate and credit driven cycle down stage tda7294

Guan Tao: China economy will enter the real estate and credit driven downward phase of the cycle Chinese securities network (reporter Song Weiping) said senior researcher Chinese Financial Forum forty tube Tao 25 held in Qingdao on 2016 China coal mine industry conference, the economic downward phase of the cycle China economy will enter the real estate and credit driven. The economy more difficult stage is after the 3-4 quarter, that is after the 1 quarter of next year, the downward economic cycle will enter the bottom stage. If the downward trend in the trend is not as soon as possible to curb the downward trend of the cycle and downward trend of two forces superimposed effect, the economic downturn and deflationary pressures will be much greater than the current stage. Guan Tao said that the current real estate market has been through a period of high 1-2 next quarter, the growth rate of the real estate price and new construction area will enter the cycle of the downlink channel; according to the past experience several short cycles, with new construction area fell into the channel, the growth rate of industrial added value will be dropped into the channel. Because it is the initial stage of the cycle down, the growth rate of new housing construction area, the growth rate of industrial added value and fixed asset investment growth and other macroeconomic indicators remain relatively high level.相关的主题文章:

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